TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 8:37 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a professional football league. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score during the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added at the end of the match. This scenario highlights the offensive performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
If Ferroviario and Athletic Club Sjdr both score a goal in the Ferroviario vs Athletic Club Sjdr Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s price is determined by actual money being placed on the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of both teams scoring, they can express that view by trading in this market. This can lead to price discovery and potentially more accurate probabilities than those offered by traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Ferroviario vs Athletic Club match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and reflect the collective beliefs of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Ferroviario and Athletic Club Sjdr score at least one goal during the scheduled match. The official result of the match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome is triggered. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or settle their positions following the official confirmation of the match result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Ferroviario or Athletic Club Sjdr would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue might also cause price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of both teams scoring could move this market.