TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Ferroviaria and Internacional. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, providing insight into the match's offensive intensity. It reflects the competitive nature of the game without predicting a specific winner.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored during the Ferroviaria vs Internacional professional Brasileiro Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026. The resolution occurs after the full 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Multiple markets exist, each corresponding to a different goal threshold (over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals). If the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criteria based solely on the total goals scored within the defined timeframe. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective belief of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's likelihood. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently with new information than traditional betting markets, though sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing on popular outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, the total goals scored in the Ferroviaria vs Internacional match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a consensus view. Higher prices indicate a lower probability, while lower prices suggest a higher probability. The market dynamically adjusts as new information and opinions emerge.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official total number of goals scored in the Ferroviaria vs Internacional match, as reported by the governing football authority. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered; only goals scored during regular play will count towards the final result. The platform will verify the outcome against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Ferroviaria or Internacional would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Unexpected tactical decisions announced by the managers, or even pre-match analysis suggesting a shift in expected scoring patterns, could all contribute to price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likely goal total has the potential to move this market.