TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Ferroviaria and Internacional in the Brasileiro Serie C league. The match will be determined based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Participants can speculate on whether Ferroviaria, Internacional, or a tied result will occur.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Ferroviaria vs Internacional match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three possible outcomes are considered: Ferroviaria win, Internacional win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular time plus stoppage minutes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals actively trading on the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probabilities. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Ferroviaria vs Internacional match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current probability assessment of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time representation of collective belief. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ferroviaria vs Internacional match as declared by the governing sporting authority. Any potential postponements or cancellations will be handled according to the platform’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result and any relevant updates.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 10, 2026. Key player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions, and any news regarding team morale or coaching decisions could all influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as venue changes or referee assignments, could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants might indicate new information or a change in sentiment, prompting further price adjustments in this market.