TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad
Volume:
$502,533
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Europa League match between Ferencvárosi TC (home) and PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad scheduled for February 26, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss) and total goals scored, all resolving on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket measure orthogonal dimensions of the same match (total goals vs. match outcome). While both use identical time windows (90 min + stoppage, no extra time/penalties), they resolve on different settlement values, creating no logical contradiction but requiring separate settlement workflows.Hero Tip:
These are not competing markets on the same question. Kalshi bettors should track combined scoring; Polymarket bettors should track only the final result. Both platforms agree on the time window and data source (UEFA official records). Settle each platform independently using the official match report.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive outcome markets: Ferencvárosi win (Yes if home team wins), Draw (Yes if 1-1, 2-2, etc.), Ludogorets win (Yes if away team wins). Cancellation rule: if game is canceled entirely with no makeup, Draw market resolves Yes and outcome markets resolve No. Time window: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Four overlapping total goals markets with thresholds >1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5. Each resolves Yes if combined team goals exceed threshold, No otherwise. No explicit cancellation rule provided. Time window: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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