TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor
Volume:
$303,271
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Turkish Super Lig match between Fenerbahçe SK and Samsunspor scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets are offered on Kalshi and Polymarket, with overlapping coverage of match outcomes (win/loss/draw) evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and postponement handling diverges between platforms. Kalshi does not specify contingency rules, while Polymarket applies asymmetric resolution (Draw=Yes on cancellation, Wins=No on cancellation), creating potential settlement conflicts.Hero Tip:
Monitor official Turkish Football Federation (TFF) announcements for any postponement or cancellation notices. If cancellation occurs, expect Polymarket Draw to resolve Yes while Win markets resolve No. Kalshi's behavior is undefined—contact support for clarification before the event. Avoid holding positions across both platforms if cancellation risk is material.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with explicit contingency rules: Draw resolves Yes if game ends in draw OR if canceled entirely with no makeup game. Fenerbahçe Win resolves Yes only if Fenerbahçe wins; resolves No if canceled with no makeup. Samsunspor Win resolves Yes only if Samsunspor wins; resolves No if canceled with no makeup. Postponement keeps all markets open. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (Draw) vs. 'this market will resolve No' (Win markets).
- Kalshi: Three binary markets structured as 'If [outcome] wins, then market resolves to Yes.' No explicit language addressing postponement, cancellation, or makeup games. Implies resolution only upon match completion with a defined winner or tie. Key quote: 'If Samsunspor wins... then the market resolves to Yes' (and similarly for Fenerbahce and Tie), with no contingency clause.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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