TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Fenerbahce vs. Olimpia Milano
Volume:
$145,803
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Euroleague basketball game between Fenerbahce Istanbul and Olimpia Milano scheduled for March 20, 2026 at 1:45 PM EDT. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are tracking the outcome of this single match, with resolution dependent on which team wins the game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Fenerbahce win and Olimpia Milano win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly implements a binary outcome structure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market without direct platform clarification. The market structure violates basic binary logic. Polymarket's market is the only reliably resolvable version. If forced to settle Kalshi, escalate to PredictionHero compliance for manual review.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market resolves to Yes if Fenerbahce wins OR if Olimpia Milano wins. Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution state, creating a logical impossibility. Quote: If Fenerbahce Istanbul wins...resolves to Yes. If Olimpia Milano wins...resolves to Yes.
- Polymarket: Market resolves to Fenerbahce if Fenerbahce wins, or Olimpia Milano if Olimpia Milano wins. Includes postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses. Quote: If Fenerbahce win, resolve to Fenerbahce. If Olimpia Milano win, resolve to Olimpia Milano.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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