TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in Turkey's top league. The result is determined by which team wins within the standard match duration, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game ends with both teams level, that specific outcome is also identified.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Fenerbahçe, a win for Alanyaspor, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi’s standard procedures. The event operates independently of the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that market participants have access to information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines, or simply have a different assessment of the probabilities. It's common to see some variation, but large differences can present potential opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with buyers increasing the price and sellers decreasing it, ultimately establishing a dynamic and evolving assessment of the Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor match as reported by a trusted sports data source. The specific outcome that triggers settlement will depend on the contract purchased – whether it’s a win for Fenerbahce, a win for Alanyaspor, or a draw. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Fenerbahce or Alanyaspor would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team issues could also shift the odds. Monitoring sports news and analysis leading up to the match is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.