TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$216,099,358

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,189,677,720

500,754

Markets across

13,672

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,801

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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Trending

Felix FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Nov 27, 2025, 12:34 PM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$343,401
Volume 24h:
$1,201
375%
Liquidity:
$1,192,687
117%
Open interest:
$43,108
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group tracks whether Felix Protocol's token will achieve specific Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) thresholds at a defined moment: 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following token launch. The group contains 9 binary markets across two platforms, each asking if FDV will exceed a particular dollar amount ($25M, $50M, $100M, $300M, $500M, $800M, $1B, or $2B).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical FDV calculation methodology (total supply × price), identical timing (4:00 PM ET one calendar day after launch), identical launch qualification criteria (active public transferability and tradeability), and identical fallback rule (No if no launch by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET).

Primary resolution logic:

Most liquid price source available at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following Felix Protocol token launch

Core resolution logic:

  • Token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch
  • FDV = Total Token Supply × Token Price at 4:00 PM ET on launch day + 1 calendar day
  • Market resolves Yes if FDV exceeds the threshold specified in the market title
  • Market resolves No if FDV is at or below the threshold
  • If no token launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, market resolves No
  • Resolution source is the most liquid price source available at the measurement time

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Launch Definition Ambiguity: If Felix Protocol launches a token but it is not immediately tradable or transferable, the launch does not qualify. Markets will not resolve until a token becomes actively, publicly transferable and tradable.
  • Price Source Liquidity Tie: If multiple price sources have equal liquidity at 4:00 PM ET on the resolution date, the most established or highest-volume exchange should be used. Platforms should pre-identify their preferred source hierarchy.
  • Token Supply Uncertainty: If total token supply is disputed or changes between launch and 4:00 PM ET on day+1, the supply figure as reported by the official Felix Protocol source at the measurement time governs the FDV calculation.
  • Deadline Miss: If Felix Protocol has not launched a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this group resolve to No regardless of any subsequent launch.
  • Timezone Precision: All timing references are in Eastern Time (ET). 4:00 PM ET is the exact measurement moment; prices or data from 3:59 PM or 4:01 PM do not qualify.

Timing:

Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day immediately following Felix Protocol's token launch, provided the token is actively, publicly transferable and tradable. If no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve to No on that deadline.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.