TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Taca de Portugal tournament. The contest will determine whether one team secures a victory within the standard match duration, or if the game concludes with an equal scoreline.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Felgueiras vs Fafe professional Taca de Portugal soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If Felgueiras wins within regulation time, the 'Felgueiras' market resolves to Yes. If Fafe wins within regulation time, the 'Fafe' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's rules. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not account for outcomes determined during extra time or penalties.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, reflects the pure collective wisdom of traders, who are incentivized to accurately predict the result. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and opinions emerge, potentially offering a more accurate forecast of the Felgueiras vs Fafe match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Felgueiras vs Fafe match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the final result. The market’s resolution is determined by the official outcome of the match, not by any subjective judgment or external factor.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from sports commentators could also move the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment regarding the Felgueiras vs Fafe match, causing prices to fluctuate.