TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 2:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Fedoryshyn Ivan and Kasyanov Artem in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 16 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fedoryshyn Ivan' if Fedoryshyn Ivan wins against Kasyanov Artem. This market will resolve to 'Kasyanov Artem' if Kasyanov Artem wins against Fedoryshyn Ivan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Fedoryshyn Ivan and Kasyanov Artem in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 16 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fedoryshyn Ivan' if Fedoryshyn Ivan wins against Kasyanov Artem. This market will resolve to 'Kasyanov Artem' if Kasyanov Artem wins against Fedoryshyn Ivan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring, as determined by traders. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities, with this market potentially offering a different perspective than conventional betting sites. However, it’s important to note that both aim to predict the same outcome, and discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage or informed betting decisions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and share information, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current price indicates the market's assessment of the likelihood of each fighter winning, and traders can express their own views by taking either the 'buy' or 'sell' side of the market. The market's efficiency depends on active participation and the availability of relevant information.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Fedoryshyn vs. Kasyanov match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about any potential developments.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the fighters’ condition, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about training regimens or strategic changes could also move the market. Finally, large trades on Polymarket itself can create short-term price fluctuations, especially if they represent a strong conviction from informed traders. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential market movements.