TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:33 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Switzerland Super League game between FC Zurich and FC Thun, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Zurich" if FC Zurich score more goals than FC Thun in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Zurich and FC Thun score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Thun" if FC Thun score more goals than FC Zurich in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Switzerland Super League game between FC Zurich and FC Thun, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Zurich" if FC Zurich score more goals than FC Thun in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Zurich and FC Thun score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Thun" if FC Thun score more goals than FC Zurich in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The volume traded provides insight into how much conviction traders have in their predictions, and the price movements can indicate shifts in sentiment as new information emerges regarding the match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the second half of the FC Zurich vs. FC Thun match. The platform will verify the result against official sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, in-game events during the first half of the match, such as early goals or red cards, could significantly impact the perceived probabilities and lead to substantial price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving dynamics of the prediction market.