TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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FC Zurich vs. FC Thun
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of FC Zurich vs. FC Thun?

Volume:
$93,836

Zurich

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 1:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Zurich

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$47,699
N/A
N/A
$28,229
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Zurich

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,889
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,095
N/A
N/A
$13,653
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FC Zurich vs. FC Thun)

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,240
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Thun

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,155
N/A
N/A
$8,341
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Thun

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,758
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Swiss Super League soccer match between FC Zurich and FC Thun on October 10, 2026. Markets exist for FC Zurich winning, FC Thun winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles game cancellation by resolving to 'No', while Kalshi does not address this scenario.Hero tip: Consider that a game cancellation on Polymarket will result in a 'No' outcome, while on Kalshi, the market's fate is uncertain and potentially reliant on external consensus if a game never occurs.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'No'. Uses a hierarchy of official stats, Flashscore, and Sofascore for resolution.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit handling of game cancellations is provided. Resolution depends on the result of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Switzerland Super League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between FC Zurich and FC Thun.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes for the Zurich vs Thun Swiss Super League soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026: a win for Zurich, a win for Thun, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its corresponding outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the platform's guidelines. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Swiss Super League match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $93,836, with $92,970 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see how the market is pricing the probability of different results for the FC Zurich versus FC Thun game. The dashboard provides a cross-platform view, reflecting the combined predictions of users on both venues. It’s a useful tool for understanding the overall sentiment surrounding this match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive structure. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs, incentivized by potential gains from accurate forecasts. This market reflects the collective intelligence of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers and react more quickly to breaking news, creating discrepancies in the odds for this match.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over another. Major tactical announcements or shifts in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage, could also move the market. Keep an eye on these developments as they unfold, as they all have the potential to impact the perceived probabilities and therefore the price of this market.