TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 6:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Netherlands Eerste Divisie game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between FC Volendam and Vitesse Arnhem.
This event is for the upcoming Netherlands Eerste Divisie game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between FC Volendam and Vitesse Arnhem.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines based on team statistics and expert analysis, while this market reflects the collective predictions of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of prediction markets as new information becomes available. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news or events that might take sportsbooks longer to incorporate into their odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of Vitesse Arnhem winning, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Vitesse will win, the higher the share price will climb, approaching a value of 1. Conversely, if traders believe Vitesse is unlikely to win, the share price will fall. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the FC Volendam vs. Vitesse Arnhem match. The outcome will be determined by which team is declared the winner according to official sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified result of the match.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Volendam or Vitesse would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical announcements from the managers, could influence traders’ predictions. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of Vitesse Arnhem winning has the potential to move this market.