This event group covers the FC Volendam vs. PSV Eredivisie soccer match scheduled for February 13, 2026. Three related markets track the outcome: Volendam win, PSV win, and draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Kalshi presents a logical impossibility: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Volendam win, Tie, PSV win) are stated to resolve to Yes, which cannot occur simultaneously. Polymarket uses platform-specific cancellation rules that diverge by outcome type, creating asymmetric resolution paths.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets until the logical contradiction is resolved with the platform. On Polymarket, recognize that cancellation risk is asymmetric: the Draw market benefits from cancellation (resolves Yes), while win markets are harmed (resolve No). Hedge accordingly or seek clarification on Kalshi's intended tiebreaker mechanism.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: All three outcome markets (Volendam win, Tie, PSV win) are stated to resolve Yes. This is logically impossible since only one outcome can occur. No explicit cancellation clause is provided. Key Quote: 'If Volendam wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Eindhoven wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Three separate markets with outcome-specific cancellation rules. Volendam Win and PSV Win resolve No on cancellation; Draw resolves Yes on cancellation. All three resolve based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (for wins) vs. 'this market will resolve Yes' (for draw).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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