TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 7:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This group forecasts the outcome of a UEFA Europa Conference League match between FC Twente and FC Thun on October 15, 2026. Markets exist for FC Twente winning, FC Thun winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for Thursday, October 15, 2026 between FC Twente and FC Thun.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for Thursday, October 15, 2026 between FC Twente and FC Thun.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict on the FC Twente vs. FC Thun match can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume, currently at $93,369, also plays a role—lower volume can lead to greater price volatility. Furthermore, the specific market design and fee structures on each platform can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the displayed probabilities. These differences contribute to a more nuanced and robust overall prediction.