TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers?

Total volume:
$110
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$3,072
16%
Open interest:
$10
100%

Tokyo

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2026

Time left: 04d:07h:31m

Tokyo wins

48%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 48¢ buys you 208 shares | Odds: 48% Total Payout: $208 | Net Profit: $108 Multiplier: 2.08x | ROI: 108% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tokyo

Trade
48%
Yes 48¢No 56¢
4¢
N/A
$10
0%
N/A
$10
4d 7h 31m
Active
polymarket

FC Tōkyō

Trade
47%
Yes 49¢No 56¢
5¢
$974
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 4h 31m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
48%
Yes 48¢No 56¢
Avg: 4.5¢Max: 5¢
polymarket

Kashima Antlers

Trade
28%
2%
Yes 30¢No 75¢
5¢
$1,059
$100
0%
N/A
N/A
4d 4h 31m
Active
kalshi

Kashima

Trade
N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 7h 31m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
27.5%
Yes 30¢No 75¢
Avg: 4.5¢Max: 5¢
polymarket

Draw (FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers)

Trade
26%
Yes 28¢No 76¢
4¢
$1,039
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 4h 31m
Active
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 7h 31m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 4.5¢Max: 5¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a J1 League soccer match between FC Tōkyō and Kashima Antlers on November 7, 2026. Markets exist for FC Tōkyō winning, Kashima Antlers winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket resolves canceled games to 'No' for win/loss markets, while Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation rules.Hero tip: If you believe the game is likely to be canceled, favor Polymarket markets. If you believe the game will definitely occur, Kalshi markets are acceptable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the official result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If canceled with no make-up game, markets resolve to 'No' for win/loss, and 'Yes' for draw.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit handling of cancellations is stated, implying markets may remain open indefinitely.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 between FC Tōkyō and Kashima Antlers.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Tokyo versus Kashima professional Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for November 7, 2026, after the full 90 minutes of regulation play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Tokyo wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Tokyo' market resolves to Yes. If Kashima wins under the same conditions, the 'Kashima' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regulation and stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original schedule, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The markets are independent of any official affiliation with the Japan J1 League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the aggregate probabilities surrounding the outcome of the FC Tōkyō versus Kashima Antlers match within the J1 League. Currently, the consensus view across both platforms indicates a probability distribution, with a combined volume of $110. This allows traders to see a unified perspective on the potential result, aggregating data from multiple sources. The dashboard displays the probabilities as determined by the traders on each platform, offering a comprehensive overview of the market's sentiment. It's designed to provide a clear picture of where the crowd believes the outcome will land.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially when there's significant public disagreement or access to unique information among market participants. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, prediction markets can become more accurate as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.

Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to a number of factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading limits, and fee structure, all of which influence price discovery. Furthermore, differing levels of information and interpretation among traders on each platform can lead to varying probabilities. The volume traded on each platform also plays a role; lower volume can result in greater price volatility. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-11-07? at 46.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Tokyo wins at 48.0%, reflecting these differing market dynamics.

This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the FC Tōkyō versus Kashima Antlers match will be used to determine the winner of this market. The outcome will be based on the official result as reported by the J1 League and verified against credible public sources. Traders should monitor official announcements for the final result, as this will dictate the settlement of the market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 7, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either FC Tōkyō or Kashima Antlers would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also influence trader sentiment. Major tactical announcements from either team’s manager, or even unexpected weather conditions on match day, could all contribute to price movement. Finally, significant betting activity or large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could also drive changes in the probabilities offered in this market.