TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:13 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Japan J. League game between FC Tōkyō and FC Mito Holly Hock, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Tōkyō vs. FC Mito Holly Hock match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Japan J. League game between FC Tōkyō and FC Mito Holly Hock, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Tōkyō vs. FC Mito Holly Hock match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell, representing their collective belief about the likelihood of each exact score. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into where the market perceives an edge, compared to conventional betting options.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible exact score, and the price of each share reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a specific outcome, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence. Conversely, selling shares drives the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of the traders participating.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the FC Tokyo vs. Mito Hollyhock match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score determined by official sources will be used to determine the winning shares. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in incorrect outcomes will not. It’s important to monitor official results to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis highlighting a team’s strategic advantage could also cause significant price fluctuations. Furthermore, large volume trades from influential traders could create momentum and drive prices in a particular direction, reflecting a change in perceived probability.