TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 7:02 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC Thun and HNK Hajduk Split, scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC Thun and HNK Hajduk Split, scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many individuals. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same underlying event, and differences can arise due to varying information and perspectives.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The halftime result of the FC Thun vs. HNK Hajduk Split match will be used to determine the winning outcome. Specifically, the market will resolve based on which team is leading at the end of the first half, or if the score is tied, the 'Draw' outcome will be considered the winner. The resolution will be based on official match data and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the first half.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced before the match could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions at the stadium could also play a role. Furthermore, as the match progresses and early game events unfold, such as goals scored or red cards issued, the market will likely react swiftly to reflect the changing probabilities of each halftime outcome. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to shifts in trading volume and price.