TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 7:05 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Thun and HNK Hajduk Split, scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Thun" if FC Thun are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "HNK Hajduk Split" if HNK Hajduk Split are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between FC Thun and HNK Hajduk Split, scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Thun" if FC Thun are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "HNK Hajduk Split" if HNK Hajduk Split are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and include a profit margin, while this market allows traders to collectively assess the probability of each outcome. If a significant amount of volume flows towards one team scoring first, the odds will adjust to reflect that increased belief. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available, though discrepancies can still occur.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first goal in the FC Thun vs. HNK Hajduk Split match. The resolution will be based on official match data and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s guidelines, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either FC Thun or HNK Hajduk Split would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the starting lineups or pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could also impact the price of shares. A significant influx of volume into either side of the market would also be a strong signal of changing expectations.