TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC
polymarket
predict
limitless
kalshi

What is the result of FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC?

Total volume:
$235
Volume 24h:
$220N/A
Liquidity:
$15,582
18%
Open interest:
$81
450%

FC Thun

all

4 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

Predict

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 02d:19h:11m

Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?

42%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 42¢ buys you 238 shares | Odds: 42% Total Payout: $238 | Net Profit: $138 Multiplier: 2.38x | ROI: 138% APY not meaningful 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

FC Thun

Trade
42%
Yes 42¢No 59¢
1¢
$4,308
$7
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 11m
Active
kalshi

Thun

Trade
41%
Yes 41¢No 60¢
1¢
N/A
$15
0%
N/A
$15
2d 22h 11m
Active
predict

THU

Trade
41%
Yes 42¢No 61¢
3¢
$1,051
$7
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 21h 11m
Active
limitless

FC Thun

Trade
N/A
N/A
6.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 11m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
41.1%
Yes 41.7¢No 60¢
Avg: 2.9¢Max: 6.5¢
kalshi

Heart of Midlothian

Trade
36%
Yes 34¢No 67¢
1¢
N/A
$66
0%
N/A
$66
2d 22h 11m
Active
polymarket

Heart of Midlothian FC

Trade
34%
1%
Yes 35¢No 67¢
2¢
$3,697
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 11m
Active
predict

HMI

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
$398
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 21h 11m
Active
limitless

Heart Of Midlothian

Trade
N/A
N/A
6.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 11m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
36%
Yes 34¢No 67¢
Avg: 3.1¢Max: 6.5¢
polymarket

Draw (FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC)

Trade
25%
1%
Yes 26¢No 76¢
2¢
$5,730
$140
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 11m
Active
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 22h 11m
Active
predict

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
$398
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 21h 11m
Active
limitless

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
6.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 11m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
25%
Yes 26¢No 76¢
Avg: 3.4¢Max: 6.5¢
Total markets: 12

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a UEFA Europa Conference League soccer match between FC Thun and Heart of Midlothian FC, scheduled for November 5, 2026. Markets ask whether FC Thun will win, Heart of Midlothian will win, or the game will end in a draw, all within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between Polymarket and Limitless. Polymarket resolves to 'No' on cancellation, while Limitless resolves to 'Yes' (draw).Hero tip: Consider the cancellation risk when trading. Limitless markets offer a potential edge if you believe a cancellation is likely, as they will resolve to a win/draw outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This applies to all three markets (Thun win, Heart of Midlothian win, Draw).
  • Limitless: If the match is not completed as scheduled and no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "YES" for the Draw market, and "NO" for the Thun/HMI win markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 between FC Thun and Heart of Midlothian FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Thun vs Heart of Midlothian professional Conference League soccer match scheduled for November 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the match within this timeframe. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 between FC Thun and Heart of Midlothian FC.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 5, 2026, 17:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian match. Currently, the aggregated view shows a consensus leaning towards a particular result, with a combined volume of $235 across both platforms. While Polymarket currently favors Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05? at 41.5%, Kalshi leans toward Thun wins at 41.0%. This allows for a comprehensive understanding of market sentiment and potential predictions for the game's result, aggregating insights from multiple prediction venues.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. The current volume on this market is $235, indicating active trading and evolving probabilities.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the liquidity—or volume—on each platform, currently at $217 for the past 24 hours, plays a role. Different interpretations of available information, or even simply differing levels of trading activity, can cause the probabilities offered on each platform to diverge. The current split shows Polymarket favoring Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05? at 41.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Thun wins at 41.0%.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The outcome will be based on the official result reported by the governing football association. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either FC Thun or Heart of Midlothian would likely cause price adjustments. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also influence the outcome and, consequently, the market. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or shifts in public sentiment regarding team performance could all contribute to movement in the probabilities offered on Polymarket and Kalshi.