TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 1:13 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Switzerland Super League game between FC Thun and FC Lugano, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Thun vs. FC Lugano match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Switzerland Super League game between FC Thun and FC Lugano, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Thun vs. FC Lugano match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Therefore, you may find discrepancies between the implied probabilities on Polymarket and those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the FC Thun vs. FC Lugano match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores in the FC Thun vs. FC Lugano match, and the price of each share reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, meaning that if many traders believe a particular score is likely, the price of shares representing that score will increase. Conversely, if traders believe it's unlikely, the price will decrease, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the FC Thun vs. FC Lugano match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score determined by official sources will be used to determine which shares payout. The market will then be settled, and winning shares will be redeemable for the corresponding payout amount based on the final market prices at resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result to understand when the market is finalized.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could impact predictions for the FC Thun vs. FC Lugano match. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or key player availability are likely to cause significant price movement. Furthermore, shifts in public opinion or analysis from sports commentators could also drive trading volume and alter the probabilities reflected on Polymarket.