TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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FC Thun vs. FC Lugano
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of FC Thun vs. FC Lugano?

Volume:
$339,131

Lugano

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 10:57 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lugano

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$114,530
N/A
N/A
$66,642
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Lugano

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$106,989
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Thun

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,827
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Thun

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,360
N/A
N/A
$14,881
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,135
N/A
N/A
$13,785
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FC Thun vs. FC Lugano)

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,291
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Swiss Super League soccer match between FC Thun and FC Lugano on October 25, 2026. Markets exist for FC Thun winning, FC Lugano winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution depends on the official match result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between Polymarket and Kalshi, and Kalshi does not explicitly address draw resolution in the event of a cancellation.Hero tip: Consider the potential for voided Kalshi markets if the game is canceled, while Polymarket markets will resolve to a definitive outcome. This could lead to differing settlement outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves win/loss markets to 'No' and draw markets to 'Yes' if the game is canceled with no make-up game. Uses a hierarchy of official sources, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus for resolution.
  • Kalshi: Does not explicitly state how a cancellation will be handled, implying a potential void. Focuses on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Switzerland Super League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026 between FC Thun and FC Lugano.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Thun vs Lugano Swiss Super League match scheduled for October 25, 2026, determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Thun market occurs if Thun wins in regular time; a 'Yes' for Lugano occurs if Lugano wins in regular time; and a 'Yes' for Tie occurs if the match ends level after regular time. All markets exclude extra time or penalty shootout results. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, reflecting the principles of fair resolution in contingent event markets.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates data from multiple prediction markets focused on the Swiss Super League match. Currently, the combined volume across Polymarket and Kalshi is $339,131, with $324,220 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of the probability of different outcomes, providing a broader perspective than any single platform offers. The dashboard tracks the leading probabilities as determined by the collective wisdom of traders on these platforms, offering a comprehensive overview of expectations for the match.

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources at play. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction market prices reflect the collective beliefs of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient at incorporating new information and representing the true probabilities of events. However, sportsbooks may offer different markets than are available on prediction markets, and liquidity can vary significantly between the two.