TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in the Canadian Premier League. The result is determined based on the final score after the regulation period, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will reflect a clear winner or a tied result as defined by the official match conclusion.
The event resolves based on the result of the FC Supra Du Quebec vs Inter Toronto professional Canadian Premier League soccer match scheduled for October 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for FC Supra Du Quebec, a win for Inter Toronto, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootout results, focusing solely on the standing at the end of regulation time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies emerge, particularly when public sentiment differs from the sportsbook's initial assessment. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, although neither provides a guaranteed prediction.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, with traders adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations for the FC Supra Du Quebec vs Inter Toronto match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the FC Supra Du Quebec vs Inter Toronto match, as reported by official league sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The final result will be determined by the official match statistics and standings.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either FC Supra Du Quebec or Inter Toronto could all shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match commentary from analysts, could also impact the market. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning is likely to cause price movements and increased volume in this market.