TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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FC Supra Du Quebec vs. Cavalry FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of FC Supra Du Quebec vs. Cavalry FC?

Volume:
$105,605

FC Supra Du Quebec

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 6:18 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

FC Supra Du Quebec

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44,375
N/A
N/A
$23,231
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Supra Du Quebec

100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,082
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cavalry

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,654
N/A
N/A
$23,674
Settled
No
polymarket

Cavalry FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,173
N/A
N/A
$16,672
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FC Supra Du Quebec vs. Cavalry FC)

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group covers the outcome of a Canadian Premier League soccer match between FC Supra Du Quebec and Cavalry FC, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Markets ask whether either team will win or if the game will end in a draw, with specific rules around abandonment and data sources.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi combines win/draw/tie into a single market, while Polymarket separates them. This creates a divergence in how outcomes are represented and priced.Hero tip: Consider the combined probability of all outcomes on Polymarket (Supra win + Cavalry win + Draw) should equal 100%. Compare this to the Kalshi market to identify potential discrepancies.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Asks if FC Supra Du Quebec wins, Cavalry FC wins, or the game ends in a draw, each as separate markets. Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled or abandoned without a result.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either FC Supra Du Quebec or Cavalry FC wins, or if the game ends in a tie. This effectively covers all possible outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Canadian Premier League game between FC Supra Du Quebec and Cavalry FC, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

If FC Supra Du Quebec wins the FC Supra Du Quebec vs Cavalry professional Canadian Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Cavalry wins the FC Supra Du Quebec vs Cavalry professional Canadian Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the FC Supra Du Quebec vs Cavalry professional Canadian Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities. This market reflects real-time sentiment and can sometimes anticipate shifts in opinion before sportsbooks adjust their lines. The difference can also stem from differing levels of information available to each group; prediction markets benefit from collective intelligence and diverse perspectives.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding FC Supra Du Quebec and Cavalry FC. Trading volume and liquidity also play a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility. Additionally, the specific mechanisms for price discovery—how traders set the odds by buying and selling—may differ slightly between the two venues, contributing to discrepancies in the perceived probabilities of each outcome.