TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:31 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 11 at 7:30 AM ET.
More markets for the 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 11 at 7:30 AM ET.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the collective beliefs of informed traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than sportsbook odds, though this isn't always the case.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction venues.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the St. Pauli vs. Karlsruher SC match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in player form could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can cause immediate price movements, reflecting a change in conviction among participants. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market's outlook.