TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:43 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC St. Pauli 1910 and Karlsruher SC, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC St. Pauli 1910" if FC St. Pauli 1910 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Karlsruher SC" if Karlsruher SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between FC St. Pauli 1910 and Karlsruher SC, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC St. Pauli 1910" if FC St. Pauli 1910 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Karlsruher SC" if Karlsruher SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, arbitrage opportunities may emerge, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. It's common to see prediction markets converge towards what many believe is the 'true' probability as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team – FC St. Pauli 1910 or Karlsruher SC – scores the first goal in the match. Any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for the purpose of determining the outcome of this market. The official match records will serve as the source of truth for verifying the result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either FC St. Pauli 1910 or Karlsruher SC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could all contribute to fluctuations in the market price. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either team scoring first could move the market.