TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg?

Volume:
$214,259

Nuremberg

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 9:25 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nuremberg

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$70,129
N/A
N/A
$28,726
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1. FC Nürnberg

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$33,127
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

St. Pauli

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,080
N/A
N/A
$26,453
Settled
No
polymarket

FC St. Pauli 1910

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,608
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,412
N/A
N/A
$16,492
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg)

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,903
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the 2. Bundesliga match between FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Nürnberg on November 1, 2026. Markets exist for St. Pauli winning, Nürnberg winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Divergence in resolution source preference and explicit handling of game cancellations.Hero tip: Consider the potential for a canceled game when trading. Polymarket's explicit cancellation rule provides more clarity than Kalshi's silence on the matter.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on official statistics with fallbacks. Canceled games resolve 'No' for win markets and 'Yes' for the draw market. "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No'."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No mention of fallback sources or cancellation handling. "If Tie is the result...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026 between FC St. Pauli 1910 and 1. FC Nürnberg.

Kalshi

If St. Pauli wins the St. Pauli vs Nuremberg professional Bundesliga 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Nuremberg wins the St. Pauli vs Nuremberg professional Bundesliga 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the St. Pauli vs Nuremberg professional Bundesliga 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profit, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets are driven by actual traders buying and selling contracts based on their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information is incorporated. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of bets not available in this market, and liquidity can vary significantly between the two. This market provides a unique perspective on the likely outcome.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The differing prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the St. Pauli vs. Nürnberg match can stem from several factors. Each platform has its own user base with varying expertise and information, leading to different interpretations of the teams' strengths and potential performance. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can result in wider bid-ask spreads and less efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market design – the available outcomes and contract specifications – can influence how traders assess and price the event. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies.