TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 1:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between FC Silon Taborsko and Karvina, focusing exclusively on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The contest is part of the Czech National Football League, and the resolution depends solely on which team secures a victory within regulation time. If neither team wins during this period, the result is recorded as a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the FC Silon Taborsko vs Karvina professional Czech National Football League soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026, considering only the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for FC Silon Taborsko, a win for Karvina, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regulation time, the corresponding market settles to 'Yes.' Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' In the event the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will settle at a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The operator explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of an event. If there’s a significant difference, it might signal an opportunity for arbitrage, where traders can profit by exploiting the price difference between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, constantly refining the price. This dynamic process creates a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood, driven entirely by supply and demand among participants.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the FC Silon Taborsko vs Karvina match, as officially recorded by the league organizers, will determine the settlement of this market. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 9, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in other matches leading up to the event could also impact perceptions of each team’s strength. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.