TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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FC Seoul vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of FC Seoul vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

Volume:
$350,161

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 5:35 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$80,787
N/A
N/A
$40,274
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (FC Seoul vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC)

100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,817
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seoul

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$128,221
N/A
N/A
$72,134
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Seoul

0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,918
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Gimcheon Sangmu

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70,988
N/A
N/A
$38,048
Settled
No
polymarket

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,431
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a K League 1 soccer match between FC Seoul and Gimcheon Sangmu FC on October 18, 2026. Markets exist for FC Seoul winning, Gimcheon Sangmu FC winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution depends on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles game cancellations by resolving to 'No', while Kalshi does not mention cancellation handling.Hero tip: Consider the possibility of game cancellation when trading on Kalshi, as the market may remain open or resolve in an unexpected way if the game doesn't occur. Polymarket offers more clarity in this scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve 'Yes' if FC Seoul/Gimcheon Sangmu FC wins within 90 minutes + stoppage time. If canceled, resolves 'No'. Source: kleague.com. "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No'."
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve 'Yes' if FC Seoul/Gimcheon Sangmu FC wins or if the game ends in a draw within 90 minutes + stoppage time. No specific handling for cancellations. "If Seoul wins...resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming K-League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 18, 2026 between FC Seoul and Gimcheon Sangmu FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu professional Korea K League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following predefined procedures. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive structure. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin, while prediction markets allow participants to directly trade on their beliefs. This market’s odds reflect the collective intelligence of traders, potentially offering a more accurate forecast. Furthermore, prediction markets allow for continuous price discovery as new information emerges, unlike sportsbook odds which are typically fixed until the event begins. The current volume of $350,161 suggests active trading and evolving probabilities.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors, including differing user bases, trading volumes, and market-specific rules. Each platform attracts a unique set of traders with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Polymarket might have a larger concentration of soccer enthusiasts, while Kalshi could attract more general prediction market participants. Additionally, the liquidity and trading fees on each platform can influence price discovery. The current volume of $350,161 may also be distributed unevenly between the two platforms, contributing to price discrepancies.