TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between FC Südtirol (Bolzano) and Virtus Entella scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets across platforms are betting on the final outcome: whether Entella wins, Südtirol wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory: it specifies that all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Entella win, Südtirol win, draw) each resolve to Yes, which is impossible. Polymarket uses three separate markets with consistent but asymmetric cancellation rules.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is unresolvable as written and should not be traded. On Polymarket, the Draw market benefits from cancellation (resolves Yes), while both Win markets suffer from cancellation (resolve No). This creates a hidden hedge: if you are long the Draw market, cancellation is favorable; if long either Win market, cancellation is unfavorable. Monitor official Serie B communications for postponement or cancellation risk.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Specifies three mutually exclusive outcomes, each resolving to Yes. This is logically impossible and makes the market unresolvable. The platform appears to have conflated three separate binary markets into a single market with contradictory resolution criteria.Polymarket:
Three separate markets (Draw, Entella Win, Südtirol Win) with consistent resolution logic. Cancellation with no make-up game resolves the Draw market to Yes and both Win markets to No. Postponement keeps markets open until completion. Primary source is official Serie B statistics (legaserieb.it) with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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