TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:49 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Schalke 04 and RB Leipzig, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Schalke 04" if FC Schalke 04 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "RB Leipzig" if RB Leipzig are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between FC Schalke 04 and RB Leipzig, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Schalke 04" if FC Schalke 04 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "RB Leipzig" if RB Leipzig are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each team scoring first. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, and the incentives of participants in each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets converge towards more accurate probabilities as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first goal in the Schalke vs. Leipzig match, as determined by official match statistics. The platform will verify this information against reliable sources to ensure an accurate and transparent outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Schalke 04 or RB Leipzig would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent match results or tactical adjustments, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match statements from coaches, could introduce new information and lead to price movements. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly affect this market as perceptions of team strength evolve.