TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:37 PM EST
Opinion
This market refers to the Bundesliga match between FC Schalke 04 (SCH) and FSV Mainz 05 (MAI), scheduled for 2026-10-17 13:30 UTC. - SCH: If FC Schalke 04 wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - MAI: If FSV Mainz 05 wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both SCH and MAI options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Bundesliga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.bundesliga.com/
This market refers to the Bundesliga match between FC Schalke 04 (SCH) and FSV Mainz 05 (MAI), scheduled for 2026-10-17 13:30 UTC. - SCH: If FC Schalke 04 wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - MAI: If FSV Mainz 05 wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both SCH and MAI options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Bundesliga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.bundesliga.com/
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information access, and risk appetites between prediction market participants and sportsbook oddsmakers. Comparing the two can highlight potential value or areas where the crowd disagrees with conventional wisdom regarding the Schalke vs Mainz match. It’s a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the Schalke vs Mainz match, as determined by the governing football authorities. This includes accounting for any potential overtime or tie-breaking procedures. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution, while those who bet on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their stake. The market will close prior to the event’s completion.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Schalke 04 or FSV Mainz 05 would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news events, such as a major sponsorship deal or a controversy involving a player, could also contribute to shifts in the market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving probabilities and potentially identify trading opportunities.