TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of a Bundesliga match between FC Schalke 04 and 1. FSV Mainz 05. Users can bet on either team winning or a draw, based on which team scores more goals in the second half, including stoppage time.
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between FC Schalke 04 and 1. FSV Mainz 05, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Schalke 04" if FC Schalke 04 score more goals than 1. FSV Mainz 05 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Schalke 04 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "1. FSV Mainz 05" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 score more goals than FC Schalke 04 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between FC Schalke 04 and 1. FSV Mainz 05, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Schalke 04" if FC Schalke 04 score more goals than 1. FSV Mainz 05 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Schalke 04 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "1. FSV Mainz 05" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 score more goals than FC Schalke 04 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict for the Schalke vs. Mainz second half can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk appetite, which influence price discovery. Differences in trading volume – Polymarket has seen volume of $0 compared to Predict – can also contribute to price variations. Furthermore, differing levels of information access or interpretations of relevant news surrounding the teams could lead to divergent opinions and, consequently, price differences on each platform. These factors create opportunities for arbitrage.