TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:53 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Latvian Virsliga league between FC RFS and Jelgava. The result is determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the FC RFS vs Jelgava professional Latvian Virsliga soccer match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for FC RFS, a win for Jelgava, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after the same duration, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The resolution specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootout results, focusing solely on the standard match duration.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of individuals, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and the insights of their own experts, while this market is driven by the willingness of traders to buy or sell contracts representing different outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying information sources, risk assessments, or simply differing opinions about the teams' strengths and weaknesses.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the FC RFS vs Jelgava match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The market will determine which outcome – an FC RFS win, a Jelgava win, or a draw – actually occurred during the game. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the odds. Additionally, the performance of the teams in their preceding matches, weather conditions on match day, and even public sentiment expressed through social media could all play a role. A surprising result in a related match, or even a change in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks, might also lead to adjustments in this market’s pricing.