TOTAL VOLUME:

$115b

24H VOL:

$136,758,144

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,328,568,758

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,203,416,144

319,420

Markets across

31,372

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,061

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the UEFA Europa League soccer match between FC Red Bull Salzburg and Mjällby AIF scheduled for August 27, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for FC Red Bull Salzburg to win is 78.0%, with a 15.0% chance of a draw as the second outcome. Data comes from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, resolving against official statistics from UEFA or the event organizers. Watch the match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on August 27, 2026, to see how this market settles.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core resolution logic based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with clear definitions for win, loss, and draw outcomes.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from UEFA or the event organizers

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution depends on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Wins for either team resolve their respective markets to 'Yes'
  • Draws resolve draw-specific markets to 'Yes'
  • Cancellations with no makeup game resolve markets per individual market rules

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed
  • Cancellation: Markets resolve based on specific rules: 'No' for win markets, 'Yes' for draw market if no makeup game
Timing: Markets resolve based on official statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, or via credible reporting if official data is delayedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, August 27, 2026 between FC Red Bull Salzburg and Mjällby AIF.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Mjallby vs Salzburg professional Europa League soccer game scheduled for Aug 20, 2026. If Mjallby scores more goals than Salzburg within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Mjallby' market resolves to Yes. If Salzburg scores more goals, the 'Salzburg' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of goals, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. The match result does not include extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, August 27, 2026 between FC Red Bull Salzburg and Mjällby AIF.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Salzburg vs. Mjällby AIF match market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of different outcomes. It displays current probabilities, volume of $914,820, and 24-hour volume of $750,497 across platforms. This gives you a consensus view of market sentiment as the event approaches, highlighting any major shifts in trader confidence before Aug 27, 2026.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because of differences in user bases, liquidity, and listing mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more European traders familiar with FC Red Bull Salzburg, skewing its odds, while the other could reflect a global user pool. These dynamics often produce divergent probability estimates until one outcome gains a clear edge closer to Aug 27, 2026.

This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match outcome, which is then automatically reflected across platforms. Timing aligns with the conclusion of the FC Red Bull Salzburg versus Mjällby AIF game, ensuring a clear and transparent resolution process for all participants.

Injuries to key players, weather forecasts for the match location, or shifting team form in preceding games could all shift this market. Traders will also react to any pre-match betting trends on sportsbooks, major news releases about the clubs, or even broader sentiment shifts in European football circles as Aug 27, 2026 approaches. Volume spikes often precede these updates.