TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 4:41 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Red Bull Salzburg and AC Milan, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Red Bull Salzburg" if FC Red Bull Salzburg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between FC Red Bull Salzburg and AC Milan, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Red Bull Salzburg" if FC Red Bull Salzburg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different costs and risk profiles, which can contribute to these differences.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time estimate of the likelihood of either team scoring first.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by which team scores the first goal in the FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. AC Milan match. The resolution will be based on official match data and records, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Any potential disputes will be resolved based on the official match report and established sporting rules.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Red Bull Salzburg or AC Milan would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, recent match results, or tactical adjustments announced by the managers could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day could play a role, especially if they favor one team’s playing style. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as venue changes, could also cause volatility in this market.