TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:37 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Taca de Portugal game between FC Penafiel and Leça FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Penafiel vs. Leça FC match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Taca de Portugal game between FC Penafiel and Leça FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Penafiel vs. Leça FC match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals wagering their own capital. As a result, you may find discrepancies between the implied probabilities on Polymarket and those offered by sportsbooks for the Penafiel vs Leça FC match. These differences can arise from varying information sources, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible exact score. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular score is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise. Conversely, if traders become less confident, the price will fall. This dynamic process ensures that the market price continuously adjusts to reflect the latest information and collective sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final, official result of the Penafiel vs Leça FC match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score at the end of regulation time will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The resolution will be based on the official match data released by the governing soccer authorities, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups for either Penafiel or Leça FC could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical announcements from the managers, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion or expert predictions regarding the match outcome could drive increased volume and price fluctuations in this market.