TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax
polymarket
predict
limitless
kalshi

What is the result of FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax?

Total volume:
$2,174
Volume 24h:
$133
58%
Liquidity:
$37,609
20%
Open interest:
$504
7%

Ajax

all

4 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 02d:19h:38m

Ajax wins

41%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 41¢ buys you 244 shares | Odds: 41% Total Payout: $244 | Net Profit: $144 Multiplier: 2.44x | ROI: 144% APY not meaningful 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ajax

Trade
41%
Yes 41¢No 60¢
1¢
N/A
$1,389
3%
N/A
$409
2d 19h 38m
Active
polymarket

AFC Ajax

Trade
41%
Yes 41¢No 60¢
1¢
$5,978
$259
20%
373%
N/A
2d 16h 38m
Active
predict

AJA

Trade
40%
Yes 41¢No 62¢
3¢
$2,445
$26
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 18h 38m
Active
limitless

Ajax

Trade
N/A
N/A
7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 38m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
40.9%
Yes 41¢No 60.7¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 7¢
kalshi

Midtjylland

Trade
37%
Yes 37¢No 66¢
3¢
N/A
$0
0%
0%
$0
2d 19h 38m
Active
polymarket

FC Midtjylland

Trade
36%
1%
Yes 37¢No 65¢
2¢
$6,090
$389
8%
N/A
N/A
2d 16h 38m
Active
predict

MID

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
$17,194
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 18h 38m
Active
limitless

FC Midtjylland

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 38m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
36%
Yes 37¢No 65.5¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 6¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
25%
Yes 25¢No 77¢
2¢
N/A
$95
0%
N/A
$95
2d 19h 38m
Active
polymarket

Draw (FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax)

Trade
25%
1%
Yes 25¢No 76¢
1¢
$5,504
$16
0%
0%
N/A
2d 16h 38m
Active
predict

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
$398
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 18h 38m
Active
limitless

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 38m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
24.9%
Yes 25¢No 76.5¢
Avg: 2.8¢Max: 5¢
Total markets: 12

Description

This event group concerns the UEFA Europa Conference League match between FC Midtjylland and AFC Ajax scheduled for November 5, 2026. Markets ask whether Midtjylland or Ajax will win, or if the game will end in a draw, all within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between Kalshi and the other platforms (Polymarket, Predict, Limitless).Hero tip: Consider the risk of game cancellation when trading. Kalshi's tie resolution contrasts with the 'No' (win markets) or 'Yes' (draw market) resolution on Polymarket, Predict, and Limitless.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: If Midtjylland wins, Ajax wins, or the game ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market resolves to Yes.
  • Polymarket: If FC Midtjylland or AFC Ajax wins, the respective market resolves to 'Yes'. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the win markets resolve to 'No'. The draw market resolves to 'Yes' if the game is canceled.
  • Predict: Similar to Polymarket, win markets resolve to 'Yes' if the respective team wins, 'No' otherwise. If the game is canceled, win markets resolve to 'No'. The draw market resolves to 'Yes' if the game is canceled.
  • Limitless: Win markets resolve to 'YES' if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, 'NO' otherwise. If the match is not completed and no make-up match is scheduled, the win markets resolve to 'NO'. The draw market resolves to 'YES' if no make-up match is scheduled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 between FC Midtjylland and AFC Ajax.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes only if the specified team wins the professional Conference League soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the "Tie" market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent for each team and the tie outcome.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 between FC Midtjylland and AFC Ajax.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 5, 2026, 17:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Midtjylland vs. Ajax match. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $2,174, with $106 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of potential results, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders. Polymarket currently favors Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-05? at 40.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Ajax wins at 41.0%. The dashboard provides a comprehensive overview of market sentiment as the event approaches.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate individual beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, as traders react quickly to developments affecting the Midtjylland vs. Ajax match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Midtjylland vs. Ajax match can arise due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information advantages, leading to differing interpretations of the likely outcome. Trading fees and platform-specific rules also contribute to price variations. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – currently $2,174 overall – impacts price discovery; lower volume can result in greater price sensitivity to individual trades. These dynamics create opportunities for arbitrage, but also explain why prices aren’t always identical across venues.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Midtjylland vs. Ajax match, as reported by official sports sources. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders should monitor official channels for updates as the resolution date approaches, as this will determine the payout for this market.

Several factors could significantly impact the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team formations for either FC Midtjylland or AFC Ajax would likely cause movement. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role. Furthermore, major tactical shifts announced by either manager or significant performance changes in recent matches could influence trader sentiment. General news related to the teams’ form or motivation leading up to Nov 6, 2026 could also shift the market.