TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 7:09 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Metz and Pau FC, scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Metz" if FC Metz are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Pau FC" if Pau FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between FC Metz and Pau FC, scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Metz" if FC Metz are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Pau FC" if Pau FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis not immediately captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. This difference can present opportunities for arbitrage or simply indicate differing perspectives on the likelihood of each team scoring first.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective prediction of traders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a team will score first, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise. Conversely, if confidence wanes, the price will fall. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the match.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the FC Metz versus Pau FC match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially confirmed and reflected in the market's settlement process. It is important to note that any potential delays in official reporting could affect the resolution timeline.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either FC Metz or Pau FC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also sway trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could also trigger price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential shifts in this market before Oct 30, 2026.