TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:25 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Metz and FC Sochaux-Montbéliard, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Metz" if FC Metz are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Sochaux-Montbéliard" if FC Sochaux-Montbéliard are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between FC Metz and FC Sochaux-Montbéliard, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Metz" if FC Metz are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Sochaux-Montbéliard" if FC Sochaux-Montbéliard are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own beliefs, and the resulting odds can diverge from sportsbook offerings if a significant number of traders hold a different view. These differences can arise from varying levels of information or differing interpretations of available data, creating opportunities for arbitrage or informed speculation.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team—FC Metz or FC Sochaux-Montbéliard—scores the first goal in the match. The outcome will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the first team to score, based on the final market prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators could also sway market sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity from large traders or shifts in public opinion could create momentum and drive price changes. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.