TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:07h:13m
$
In the upcoming match between FC Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Machida Zelvia" if FC Machida Zelvia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sanfrecce Hiroshima" if Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between FC Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Machida Zelvia" if FC Machida Zelvia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sanfrecce Hiroshima" if Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often diverging from initial sportsbook lines as more information and opinions are factored in. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may not fully capture the collective insight of a diverse group of traders. This market, like others, can show differences as traders weigh factors like team form, injuries, and even weather conditions. It's common to see prediction markets converge towards the true probability of an event as it approaches, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of either FC Machida Zelvia or Sanfrecce Hiroshima scoring first. The current probability of FC Machida Zelvia scoring first is 48.0%.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the FC Machida Zelvia versus Sanfrecce Hiroshima match. Official match data will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, providing a definitive record of which team achieved this milestone first.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either FC Machida Zelvia or Sanfrecce Hiroshima would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also alter trader sentiment. Even weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions on match day could play a role, as could any pre-match analysis from respected football commentators. Unexpected lineup announcements could also move the market as traders react to tactical decisions.