TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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FC Machida Zelvia vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of FC Machida Zelvia vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Total volume:
$131
Volume 24h:
$110N/A
Liquidity:
$5,960
4%
Open interest:
$21
0%

Hiroshima

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 05d:09h:22m

Hiroshima wins

47%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 41¢ buys you 244 shares | Odds: 47% Total Payout: $244 | Net Profit: $144 Multiplier: 2.44x | ROI: 144% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hiroshima

Trade
47%
Yes 41¢No 62¢
3¢
N/A
$21
0%
N/A
$21
5d 9h 22m
Active
polymarket

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Trade
40%
Yes 42¢No 62¢
4¢
$1,801
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 22m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
47%
Yes 41¢No 62¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 4¢
polymarket

FC Machida Zelvia

Trade
33%
Yes 34¢No 69¢
3¢
$2,313
$110
0%
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 22m
Active
kalshi

Machida Z

Trade
N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 9h 22m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
32.5%
Yes 34¢No 69¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 4¢
polymarket

Draw (FC Machida Zelvia vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima)

Trade
28%
Yes 29¢No 74¢
3¢
$1,845
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 22m
Active
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 9h 22m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 4¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a J1 League soccer match between FC Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima on November 8, 2026. Markets exist for Machida Zelvia winning, Sanfrecce Hiroshima winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No' for win/draw markets, while Kalshi's resolution is less clear.Hero tip: Consider the risk of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket's explicit rule provides clarity, while Kalshi's lack of a clear rule introduces uncertainty.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'No'.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation is not explicitly addressed, implying resolution based on whether the event occurs.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 between FC Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Machida Z vs Hiroshima professional Japan J1 League soccer match originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the respective market if Machida Z wins (Rule 1), Hiroshima wins (Rule 2), or the match ends in a tie (Rule 3). All markets refer specifically to the regulation time result, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the aggregated probabilities of various outcomes for the J1 League match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a roughly 44% chance for one outcome, as reflected by the combined volume. This allows traders to see a unified view of the market, even as individual platforms may have slightly different pricing due to varying liquidity and participant behavior. The total volume across both platforms is $131, with $110 traded in the last 24 hours, providing insight into current market interest in the J1 League match.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and a margin for profit, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient and reflecting a more accurate probability of an event occurring. However, sportsbooks often have limits on bet sizes, whereas prediction markets can sometimes accommodate larger wagers. The 24-hour volume for this market is $110.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the J1 League match market can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information advantages, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome. Additionally, trading volume and liquidity levels differ between Polymarket and Kalshi; lower liquidity can result in larger price swings on one platform compared to the other. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both platforms are ultimately tracking the same underlying event. The current spread is 7.0.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the J1 League match between FC Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will settle based on the official result declared by the league organizers, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.

Several signals could significantly shift the probabilities in this market before it resolves around Nov 8, 2026. Unexpected injuries to key players on either FC Machida Zelvia or Sanfrecce Hiroshima would likely impact the odds. Major tactical announcements from either team's manager, or even significant changes in weather forecasts for the match day, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any news regarding team morale, internal conflicts, or external factors affecting player performance could cause the market to react. Monitoring these developments will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.