TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Kashiwa Reysol
Volume:
$128,486
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a J1 League soccer match between FC Machida Zelvia and Kashiwa Reysol scheduled for April 11, 2026. Polymarket offers three binary markets (Machida win, draw, Kashiwa win), while Kalshi offers a single market covering all three outcomes. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms apply identical match outcome logic (90 minutes + stoppage time, no extra time/penalties) and share the same primary resolution source (official J1 League statistics), with only minor differences in cancellation handling that do not affect normal match resolution.
Primary resolution logic:
Official J1 League statistics (jleague.jp); credible reporting consensus if official statistics not published within 2 hours of match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Match outcome determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
- Three possible outcomes: Machida Zelvia win, draw, or Kashiwa Reysol win
- If match is postponed, markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game: Polymarket Machida/Kashiwa win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes; Kalshi market resolves No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed and a result is determined
- Cancellation without makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket's Machida win and Kashiwa win markets resolve No, while the draw market resolves Yes. Kalshi's market resolves No
- Official statistics delay: If J1 League does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may use consensus from credible reporting sources
- Scope limitation: Resolution covers only the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; any result determined via extra time or penalties is excluded
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) on April 11, 2026, with official J1 League statistics as the primary source. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used for resolution.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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