TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:12 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Japan J. League game between FC Machida Zelvia and Gamba Ōsaka, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Machida Zelvia vs. Gamba Ōsaka match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Japan J. League game between FC Machida Zelvia and Gamba Ōsaka, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Machida Zelvia vs. Gamba Ōsaka match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as more information is incorporated. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each exact score. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the crowd. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive up its price, indicating a greater perceived likelihood, while increased selling pressure will lower the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Machida Zelvia vs. Gamba Osaka match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score at the end of regulation time will determine the winning outcome. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for resolution. The resolution will be based on official results published by a recognized sports data provider, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Machida Zelvia or Gamba Osaka would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical changes announced by the coaches, might lead to adjustments in probabilities. Finally, any significant public discussion or analysis of the match could sway the collective opinion of traders and move the market.