TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:16 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Japan J. League game between FC Machida Zelvia and Avispa Fukuoka, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Machida Zelvia" if FC Machida Zelvia score more goals than Avispa Fukuoka in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Machida Zelvia and Avispa Fukuoka score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Avispa Fukuoka" if Avispa Fukuoka score more goals than FC Machida Zelvia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Japan J. League game between FC Machida Zelvia and Avispa Fukuoka, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Machida Zelvia" if FC Machida Zelvia score more goals than Avispa Fukuoka in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Machida Zelvia and Avispa Fukuoka score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Avispa Fukuoka" if Avispa Fukuoka score more goals than FC Machida Zelvia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. While sportsbooks may initially favor one team, the prediction market may show a more nuanced view based on a wider range of factors considered by participants. It’s a valuable comparison to see where the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price of each share adjusts to reflect the current consensus. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. For example, a share priced at 60 means there is a 60% implied probability of that outcome. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand from traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official second-half result of the FC Machida Zelvia versus Avispa Fukuoka match. The platform will then verify the outcome against publicly available data sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized. It’s important to note that the platform relies on objective, publicly available data for resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the Oct 18, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in other matches leading up to the game could also impact perceptions of team form. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help you understand how the market is reacting to new information and potentially identify trading opportunities.