TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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FC Machida Zelvia vs. Avispa Fukuoka
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of FC Machida Zelvia vs. Avispa Fukuoka?

Volume:
$470,571

Machida Z

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 4:55 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Machida Z

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$183,288
N/A
N/A
$82,295
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Machida Zelvia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$78,097
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Avispa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$125,979
N/A
N/A
$70,423
Settled
No
polymarket

Avispa Fukuoka

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,324
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,516
N/A
N/A
$23,946
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FC Machida Zelvia vs. Avispa Fukuoka)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,366
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a J1 League soccer match between FC Machida Zelvia and Avispa Fukuoka on October 18, 2026. Markets exist for Machida Zelvia winning, Avispa Fukuoka winning, or the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets share identical resolution criteria focused on the 90-minute result, handling of postponements, and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official J.League statistics (https://www.jleague.jp/en/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is postponed, the markets remain open until the match is completed.
  • If the match is canceled entirely, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore data is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, with a maximum delay of 24 hours after the event's conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 18, 2026 between FC Machida Zelvia and Avispa Fukuoka.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Machida Z vs Avispa professional Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the respective 'Machida Z', 'Avispa', or 'Tie' market if that specific result occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If the match ends in a tie within regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes'. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution strictly adheres to the regulation time result, with no consideration given to post-regulation proceedings such as extra time or penalty kicks.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often provide a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring profitability, while prediction markets aim to reflect true probabilities as determined by traders. This can lead to differences, particularly when there's strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models, this market allows for dynamic adjustments based on a wider range of factors and participant knowledge. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.

Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can arise from several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to distinct interpretations of the likely outcome. Trading fees and platform-specific rules also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – currently $474,068 in 24-hour volume – impacts price discovery; lower volume can lead to wider spreads. Finally, differing opinions on the relative strength of FC Machida Zelvia and Avispa Fukuoka will naturally manifest as price variations.