TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 5:31 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Lugano and FK Crvena zvezda, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Lugano" if FC Lugano are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Crvena zvezda" if FK Crvena zvezda are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between FC Lugano and FK Crvena zvezda, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Lugano" if FC Lugano are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Crvena zvezda" if FK Crvena zvezda are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by traders on Polymarket, represents a collective forecast, potentially identifying information not fully captured by sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, injuries, or even subtle factors influencing the game. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be determined by which team scores the first goal in the FC Lugano versus FK Crvena zvezda match. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially confirmed and reflected in the market’s settlement process on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either FC Lugano or FK Crvena zvezda would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift expectations. Even tactical announcements from the managers, like a change in formation or starting lineup, might impact the perceived likelihood of either team scoring first. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role.