TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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FC Lugano vs. FC Luzern
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of FC Lugano vs. FC Luzern?

Volume:
$121,599

Lugano

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 1:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lugano

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$61,928
N/A
N/A
$45,875
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Lugano

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,098
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Luzern

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,705
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Luzern

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,558
N/A
N/A
$6,940
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,357
N/A
N/A
$5,795
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FC Lugano vs. FC Luzern)

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,954
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Swiss Super League soccer match between FC Lugano and FC Luzern scheduled for October 10, 2026. Markets exist for Lugano winning, Luzern winning, or the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves to 'No' on full cancellation, while Kalshi does not specify this outcome.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of the game being canceled when trading. Polymarket will resolve 'No' if cancelled, while Kalshi's resolution is less clear.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses a hierarchy of official stats, Flashscore, Sofascore, and consensus reporting. Resolution within 24 hours or 50/50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit mention of cancellation handling, implying standard sports event cancellation rules will apply.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Switzerland Super League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between FC Lugano and FC Luzern.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Lugano vs Luzern professional Swiss Super League soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for the Lugano market occurs if Lugano wins the match within this timeframe. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Luzern market occurs if Luzern secures the victory. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score after the same period. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets exclusively consider the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, with no account for extended play or penalty decisions.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Swiss Super League match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a probability distribution for the various possible results. The total volume traded across both venues is $121,599, with $121,008 changing hands in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to compare the collective wisdom of the crowd and track how sentiment shifts as new information becomes available regarding the FC Lugano versus FC Luzern game. The dashboard provides a comprehensive overview of the market for this Swiss Super League match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by the collective predictions of individuals who have ‘skin in the game’, incentivizing more accurate forecasts. While sportsbooks may initially have different odds, they often adjust based on betting action – prediction markets accomplish this instantly. Discrepancies can also arise from differing opinions on factors not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms, offering potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.