TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks users to forecast which team, FC Lorient or AS Monaco FC, will score more goals in the second half of a Ligue 1 match, or if the second half will end in a draw. The markets specifically exclude first-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs, focusing solely on regular play plus stoppage time in the second half.
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between FC Lorient and AS Monaco FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Lorient" if FC Lorient score more goals than AS Monaco FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Lorient and AS Monaco FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AS Monaco FC" if AS Monaco FC score more goals than FC Lorient in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between FC Lorient and AS Monaco FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Lorient" if FC Lorient score more goals than AS Monaco FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Lorient and AS Monaco FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AS Monaco FC" if AS Monaco FC score more goals than FC Lorient in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict on this market can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information access, leading to differing interpretations of the same event. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market mechanics and fee structures of Polymarket and Predict can influence trading behavior and, consequently, prices. These factors contribute to the observed differences in probabilities for the Lorient vs. Monaco second half outcome across the two venues.