TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:15 PM EST
Predict
More markets for the Ligue 1 game, scheduled for October 18 at 11:15 AM ET.
More markets for the Ligue 1 game, scheduled for October 18 at 11:15 AM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If prediction market participants collectively believe a sportsbook’s odds are mispriced, you’ll often see divergence. It’s common to find that prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when considering long-term outcomes, but this isn’t always the case.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of the traders regarding the probability of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Lorient vs. Monaco match. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reveal the most accurate forecast based on the aggregated knowledge of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lorient vs. Monaco match, as determined by the governing football league. Any potential postponements or cancellations will be factored into the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all participants. The final result will be used to determine which contracts pay out and at what rate.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Lorient or Monaco would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift expectations. Even weather conditions on match day, or announcements about tactical changes by the managers, have the potential to influence trading activity and move the odds. Any significant information related to the teams or the match itself could trigger movement in this market.